<p id="isPasted">Volume is the most critical tool for distinguishing a genuine breakout from a false breakout (fakeout). In a real move, volume should surge as a sign of institutional conviction; in a fakeout, the lack of "fuel" often causes the price to collapse back into its previous range. </p><p><strong>1. The Core Volume Principle</strong></p><ul><li>True Breakout: Price breaches a key level (support or resistance) accompanied by a volume surge of at least 50% to 100% above the 20-day average. This confirms broad market participation.</li><li>False Breakout: Price moves beyond a level on low or declining volume. This suggests "weak hands" are driving the move, making it easily reversible by larger players.</li></ul><p><strong>2. Specific Confirmation Techniques</strong></p><p><strong> Pattern Volume Signal Interpretation</strong></p><table data-animation-nesting="" data-sae="" style="border: none; border-collapse: collapse; table-layout: auto; inline-size: 652px; color: rgb(230, 232, 240); font-family: "Google Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(16, 18, 24); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;" id="isPasted"><tbody><tr data-complete="true" data-sfc-cp=""><td colspan="undefined" data-complete="true" data-sfc-cp="" style="border-block-end: 0.8px solid rgb(45, 47, 53); min-inline-size: 4em; vertical-align: top; color: rgb(230, 232, 240); font-family: "Google Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 22px; letter-spacing: 0px; padding-block: 12px; padding-inline: 0px 16px;">Initial Break</td><td colspan="undefined" data-complete="true" data-sfc-cp="" style="border-block-end: 0.8px solid rgb(45, 47, 53); min-inline-size: 4em; vertical-align: top; color: rgb(230, 232, 240); font-family: "Google Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 22px; letter-spacing: 0px; padding-block: 12px; padding-inline: 0px 16px;">150%+ above average</td><td colspan="undefined" data-complete="true" data-sfc-cp="" style="border-block-end: 0.8px solid rgb(45, 47, 53); min-inline-size: 4em; vertical-align: top; color: rgb(230, 232, 240); font-family: "Google Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 22px; letter-spacing: 0px; padding-block: 12px; padding-inline: 0px;">High probability of a genuine trend starting.</td></tr><tr data-complete="true" data-sfc-cp=""><td colspan="undefined" data-complete="true" data-sfc-cp="" style="border-block-end: 0.8px solid rgb(45, 47, 53); min-inline-size: 4em; vertical-align: top; color: rgb(230, 232, 240); font-family: "Google Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 22px; letter-spacing: 0px; padding-block: 12px; padding-inline: 0px 16px;">The Retest</td><td colspan="undefined" data-complete="true" data-sfc-cp="" style="border-block-end: 0.8px solid rgb(45, 47, 53); min-inline-size: 4em; vertical-align: top; color: rgb(230, 232, 240); font-family: "Google Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 22px; letter-spacing: 0px; padding-block: 12px; padding-inline: 0px 16px;">Dips back to the level on low volume</td><td colspan="undefined" data-complete="true" data-sfc-cp="" style="border-block-end: 0.8px solid rgb(45, 47, 53); min-inline-size: 4em; vertical-align: top; color: rgb(230, 232, 240); font-family: "Google Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 22px; letter-spacing: 0px; padding-block: 12px; padding-inline: 0px;">Bullish/Bearish Confirmation: Shows sellers (in an uptrend) are exhausted; the level should hold as new support.</td></tr><tr data-complete="true" data-sfc-cp=""><td colspan="undefined" data-complete="true" data-sfc-cp="" style="border-block-end: 0.8px solid rgb(45, 47, 53); min-inline-size: 4em; vertical-align: top; color: rgb(230, 232, 240); font-family: "Google Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 22px; letter-spacing: 0px; padding-block: 12px; padding-inline: 0px 16px;">Divergence</td><td colspan="undefined" data-complete="true" data-sfc-cp="" style="border-block-end: 0.8px solid rgb(45, 47, 53); min-inline-size: 4em; vertical-align: top; color: rgb(230, 232, 240); font-family: "Google Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 22px; letter-spacing: 0px; padding-block: 12px; padding-inline: 0px 16px;">Price makes a new high/low but volume is falling</td><td colspan="undefined" data-complete="true" data-sfc-cp="" style="border-block-end: 0.8px solid rgb(45, 47, 53); min-inline-size: 4em; vertical-align: top; color: rgb(230, 232, 240); font-family: "Google Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 22px; letter-spacing: 0px; padding-block: 12px; padding-inline: 0px;">Fakeout Warning: Momentum is drying up; expect a sharp reversal.</td></tr><tr data-complete="true" data-sfc-cp=""><td colspan="undefined" data-complete="true" data-sfc-cp="" style="border-block-end: none; min-inline-size: 4em; vertical-align: top; color: rgb(230, 232, 240); font-family: "Google Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 22px; letter-spacing: 0px; padding-block: 12px; padding-inline: 0px 16px;">Whipsaw</td><td colspan="undefined" data-complete="true" data-sfc-cp="" style="border-block-end: none; min-inline-size: 4em; vertical-align: top; color: rgb(230, 232, 240); font-family: "Google Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 22px; letter-spacing: 0px; padding-block: 12px; padding-inline: 0px 16px;">Immediate reversal on high volume</td><td colspan="undefined" data-complete="true" data-sfc-cp="" style="border-block-end: none; min-inline-size: 4em; vertical-align: top; color: rgb(230, 232, 240); font-family: "Google Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 22px; letter-spacing: 0px; padding-block: 12px; padding-inline: 0px;">Institutional Trap: Large players triggered stops to harvest liquidity and are now pushing price the other way.</td></tr></tbody></table><p><br></p><p id="isPasted"><strong>3. Essential Volume Tools</strong></p><ul><li>On-Balance Volume (OBV): Tracks cumulative buying/selling pressure. If price breaks resistance but OBV stays flat, the breakout is likely false.</li><li>Volume Moving Average: Overlay a 20-period SMA on your volume bars to objectively identify "above-average" spikes.</li><li>Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): Measures institutional "money flow." A breakout with a CMF reading below +0.20 (for longs) lacks the necessary institutional backing. </li></ul><p><strong>4. Strategic Checklist</strong></p><ul><li>Wait for the Close: Never trade a breakout mid-candle. Ensure the bar closes firmly beyond the level on a high-volume spike.</li><li>Check Time of Day: Forex fakeouts are common during low-liquidity windows (e.g., the end of the New York session).</li><li>Audit the "Wick": A long shadow (wick) that pokes through a level but closes back inside—especially on high volume—is a classic liquidity grab and reversal signal. </li></ul>
<p id="isPasted">Volume is the most critical tool for distinguishing a genuine breakout from a false breakout (fakeout). In a real move, volume should surge as a sign of institutional conviction; in a fakeout, the lack of "fuel" often causes the price to collapse back into its previous range. </p><p><strong>1. The Core Volume Principle</strong></p><ul><li>True Breakout: Price breaches a key level (support or resistance) accompanied by a volume surge of at least 50% to 100% above the 20-day average. This confirms broad market participation.</li><li>False Breakout: Price moves beyond a level on low or declining volume. This suggests "weak hands" are driving …</li></ul>