Probability for trend movement?

<p id="isPasted">Trend trading attempts to capture gains through the analysis of an asset's momentum&nbsp;in a particular direction. This can be done in multiple ways.</p><div style="box-sizing: border-box; overflow-wrap: break-word; color: rgb(17, 17, 17); font-family: SourceSansPro, &quot;Source Sans Pro-fallback&quot;, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 0.05px; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255); text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><br></div><p id="isPasted"><strong>Moving Average</strong></p><p>The moving average is a technical analysis tool that smooths out price data by creating a constantly updated average price. A moving average creates a single, flat line on a price chart that effectively eliminates any variations due to random price fluctuations.</p><p id="isPasted"><strong>Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)</strong></p><p>The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is an oscillating indicator. One basic MACD strategy is to look at which side of zero the MACD lines are on in the histogram below the chart.</p><p id="isPasted"><strong>Relative Strength Index (RSI)</strong></p><p>The relative strength index (RSI) is another oscillating indicator but its movement is contained between zero and 100 so it provides different information than the MACD.</p><p id="isPasted"><strong>On-Balance Volume (OBV)</strong></p><p>Volume itself is a valuable indicator and on-balance volume (OBV) takes a significant amount of volume information and compiles it into a single one-line indicator. The indicator measures cumulative buying and selling pressure by adding the volume on "up" days and subtracting volume on "down" days.</p><p id="isPasted"><strong>Oscillating Indicator</strong></p><p>An oscillating indicator is a technical analysis indicator that varies over time within a band above and below a centerline. The MACD is an oscillating indicator that fluctuates above and below zero. It's both a trend-following and a momentum indicator.&nbsp;</p>